Marketplace Competition in the Personal Computer Industry*

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1992
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Wiley
Abstract

A decision regarding development and introduction of a potential new product depends, in part, on the intensity of compeitition anticipated in the marketplace. In the case of a technology-based product such as a personal computer (PC), the number of competing products may be very dynamic and consequently uncertain. We address this problem by modeling growth in the number of new PCs as a stochastic counting process, incorporating product entries and exits. We demonstrate how to use the resulting model to forecast competition five years in advance.

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Bridges, Eileen, Ensor, Katherine B. and Thompson, James R.. "Marketplace Competition in the Personal Computer Industry*." Decision Sciences, 23, no. 2 (1992) Wiley: 467-477. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5915.1992.tb00400.x.

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