A Closed-Form Technique for the Reliability and Risk Assessment of Wind Turbine Systems

dc.citation.firstpage1734en_US
dc.citation.journalTitleEnergiesen_US
dc.citation.lastpage1750en_US
dc.citation.volumeNumber5en_US
dc.contributor.authorMensah, Akwasi F.en_US
dc.contributor.authorDueƱas-Osorio, Leonardoen_US
dc.date.accessioned2013-07-12T19:07:51Zen_US
dc.date.available2013-07-12T19:07:51Zen_US
dc.date.issued2012en_US
dc.description.abstractThis paper proposes a closed-form method to evaluate wind turbine system reliability and associated failure consequences. Monte Carlo simulation, a widely used approach for system reliability assessment, usually requires large numbers of computational experiments, while existing analytical methods are limited to simple system event configurations with a focus on average values of reliability metrics. By analyzing a wind turbine system and its components in a combinatorial yet computationally efficient form, the proposed approach provides an entire probability distribution of system failure that contains all possible configurations of component failure and survival events. The approach is also capable of handling unique component attributes such as downtime and repair cost needed for risk estimations, and enables sensitivity analysis for quantifying the criticality of individual components to wind turbine system reliability. Applications of the technique are illustrated by assessing the reliability of a 12-subassembly turbine system. In addition, component downtimes and repair costs of components are embedded in the formulation to compute expected annual wind turbine unavailability and repair cost probabilities, and component importance metrics useful for maintenance planning and research prioritization. Furthermore, this paper introduces a recursive solution to closed-form method and applies this to a 45-component turbine system. The proposed approach proves to be computationally efficient and yields vital reliability information that could be readily used by wind farm stakeholders for decision making and risk management.en_US
dc.embargo.termsnoneen_US
dc.identifier.citationMensah, Akwasi F. and DueƱas-Osorio, Leonardo. "A Closed-Form Technique for the Reliability and Risk Assessment of Wind Turbine Systems." <i>Energies,</i> 5, (2012) MDPI: 1734-1750. http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en5061734.en_US
dc.identifier.doihttp://dx.doi.org/10.3390/en5061734en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1911/71539en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherMDPIen_US
dc.rightsThis is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 3.0).en_US
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/en_US
dc.subject.keywordwind turbineen_US
dc.subject.keywordsystem reliabilityen_US
dc.subject.keywordclosed-form solutionsen_US
dc.subject.keywordconsequence analysisen_US
dc.subject.keywordrisken_US
dc.titleA Closed-Form Technique for the Reliability and Risk Assessment of Wind Turbine Systemsen_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.type.dcmiTexten_US
dc.type.publicationpublisher versionen_US
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