Differential effects of climate change on average and peak demand for heating and cooling across the contiguous USA

dc.citation.articleNumber402
dc.citation.journalTitleCommunications Earth & Environment
dc.citation.volumeNumber4
dc.contributor.authorAmonkar, Yash
dc.contributor.authorDoss-Gollin, James
dc.contributor.authorFarnham, David J.
dc.contributor.authorModi, Vijay
dc.contributor.authorLall, Upmanu
dc.date.accessioned2024-05-03T15:51:20Z
dc.date.available2024-05-03T15:51:20Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.description.abstractWhile most electricity systems are designed to handle peak demand during summer months, long-term energy pathways consistent with deep decarbonization generally electrify building heating, thus increasing electricity demand during winter. A key question is how climate variability and change will affect peak heating and cooling demand in an electrified future. We conduct a spatially explicit analysis of trends in temperature-based proxies of electricity demand over the past 70 years. Average annual demand for heating (cooling) decreases (increases) over most of the contiguous US. However, while climate change drives robust increases in peak cooling demand, trends in peak heating demand are generally smaller and less robust. Because the distribution of temperature exhibits a long left tail, severe cold snaps dominate the extremes of thermal demand. As building heating electrifies, system operators must account for these events to ensure reliability.
dc.identifier.citationAmonkar, Y., Doss-Gollin, J., Farnham, D. J., Modi, V., & Lall, U. (2023). Differential effects of climate change on average and peak demand for heating and cooling across the contiguous USA. Communications Earth & Environment, 4(1), 402. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01048-1
dc.identifier.digitals43247-023-01048-1
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01048-1
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1911/115628
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherSpringer Nature
dc.rightsExcept where otherwise noted, this work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license. Permission to reuse, publish, or reproduce the work beyond the terms of the license or beyond the bounds of fair use or other exemptions to copyright law must be obtained from the copyright holder.
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.titleDifferential effects of climate change on average and peak demand for heating and cooling across the contiguous USA
dc.typeJournal article
dc.type.dcmiText
dc.type.publicationpublisher version
Files
Original bundle
Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Loading...
Thumbnail Image
Name:
s43247-023-01048-1.pdf
Size:
2.36 MB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format