Tukey's transformational ladder for portfolio management

dc.citation.firstpage317en_US
dc.citation.issueNumber3en_US
dc.citation.journalTitleFinancial Markets and Portfolio Managementen_US
dc.citation.lastpage355en_US
dc.citation.volumeNumber31en_US
dc.contributor.authorErnst, Philip A.en_US
dc.contributor.authorThompson, James R.en_US
dc.contributor.authorMiao, Yinsenen_US
dc.date.accessioned2020-09-09T01:27:28Zen_US
dc.date.available2020-09-09T01:27:28Zen_US
dc.date.issued2017en_US
dc.description.abstractOver the past half-century, the empirical finance community has produced vast literature on the advantages of the equally weighted Standard and Poor (S&P 500) portfolio as well as the often overlooked disadvantages of the market capitalization weighted S&P 500’s portfolio (see Bloomfield et al. in J Financ Econ 5:201–218, 1977; DeMiguel et al. in Rev Financ Stud 22(5):1915–1953, 2009; Jacobs et al. in J Financ Mark 19:62–85, 2014; Treynor in Financ Anal J 61(5):65–69, 2005). However, portfolio allocation based on Tukey’s transformational ladder has, rather surprisingly, remained absent from the literature. In this work, we consider the S&P 500 portfolio over the 1958–2015 time horizon weighted by Tukey’s transformational ladder (Tukey in Exploratory data analysis, Addison-Wesley, Boston, 1977): 1/x2,1/x,1/x−−√,log(x),x−−√,x,andx2, where x is defined as the market capitalization weighted S&P 500 portfolio. Accounting for dividends and transaction fees, we find that the 1/x2 weighting strategy produces cumulative returns that significantly dominate all other portfolio returns, achieving a compound annual growth rate of 18% over the 1958–2015 horizon. Our story is furthered by a startling phenomenon: both the cumulative and annual returns of the 1/x2 weighting strategy are superior to those of the 1 / x weighting strategy, which are in turn superior to those of the 1/x−−√ weighted portfolio, and so forth, ending with the x2 transformation, whose cumulative returns are the lowest of the seven transformations of Tukey’s transformational ladder. The order of cumulative returns precisely follows that of Tukey’s transformational ladder. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to discover this phenomenon.en_US
dc.identifier.citationErnst, Philip A., Thompson, James R. and Miao, Yinsen. "Tukey's transformational ladder for portfolio management." <i>Financial Markets and Portfolio Management,</i> 31, no. 3 (2017) Springer: 317-355. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-017-0292-1.en_US
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1007/s11408-017-0292-1en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1911/109322en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherSpringeren_US
dc.rightsThis is an author's peer-reviewed final manuscript, as accepted by the publisher. The published article is copyrighted by Springer.en_US
dc.titleTukey's transformational ladder for portfolio managementen_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.type.dcmiTexten_US
dc.type.publicationpre-printen_US
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