Enacting national social distancing policies corresponds with dramatic reduction in COVID19 infection rates

dc.citation.articleNumbere0236619en_US
dc.citation.issueNumber7en_US
dc.citation.journalTitlePLoS ONEen_US
dc.citation.volumeNumber15en_US
dc.contributor.authorMcGrail, Daniel J.en_US
dc.contributor.authorDai, Jianlien_US
dc.contributor.authorMcAndrews, Kathleen M.en_US
dc.contributor.authorKalluri, Raghuen_US
dc.date.accessioned2020-11-04T18:47:52Zen_US
dc.date.available2020-11-04T18:47:52Zen_US
dc.date.issued2020en_US
dc.description.abstractThe outbreak the SARS-CoV-2 (CoV-2) virus has resulted in over 6.5 million cases of COVID19, greatly stressing global healthcare infrastructure. Lacking medical prophylactic measures to combat disease spread, many nations have adopted social distancing policies in order to mitigate transmission of CoV-2. While mathematical models have suggested the efficacy of social distancing to curb the spread of CoV-2, there is a lack of systematic studies to quantify the real-world efficacy of these approaches. Here, we first demonstrate that implementation of social distancing policies in US states corresponded with a reduction in COVID19 spread rates, and that the reduction in spread rate is proportional to the average change in mobility. We validate this observation on a worldwide scale by analyzing COVID19 spread rate in 134 nations with varying social distancing policies. Globally, we find that social distancing policies significantly reduced the COVID19 spread rate, with resulting in an estimated 65% reduction (95% CI = 39–80%) in new COVID19 cases over a two week time period. These data suggest that social distancing policies may be a powerful tool to prevent spread of COVID19 in real-world scenarios.en_US
dc.identifier.citationMcGrail, Daniel J., Dai, Jianli, McAndrews, Kathleen M., et al.. "Enacting national social distancing policies corresponds with dramatic reduction in COVID19 infection rates." <i>PLoS ONE,</i> 15, no. 7 (2020) Public Library of Science: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0236619.en_US
dc.identifier.doihttps://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0236619en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1911/109505en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.publisherPublic Library of Scienceen_US
dc.rightsThis is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.en_US
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/en_US
dc.titleEnacting national social distancing policies corresponds with dramatic reduction in COVID19 infection ratesen_US
dc.typeJournal articleen_US
dc.type.dcmiTexten_US
dc.type.publicationpublisher versionen_US
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