Choosing among alternatives with uncertain outcomes: effects of prior cuing and estimation requirements

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dc.contributor.advisorHowell, William C.
dc.contributor.committeeMemberWatkins, Michael J.
dc.contributor.committeeMemberLane, David M.
dc.creatorKerkar, Shanta P.
dc.date.accessioned2018-12-18T21:29:40Z
dc.date.available2018-12-18T21:29:40Z
dc.date.issued1982
dc.description.abstractThe present study sought to clarify the influence of frequency and probability estimation on subsequent predictive choice performance. The experimental design involved a manipulation of quality of prior estimations via combinations of instructional set and response requirement. The results demonstrated that frequency judgments were consistently superior to probability judgments regardless of initial frequency or probability set. However, accuracy of predictive choices did not directly reflect the subjects’ estimation-performance. All experimental groups made better choices than a control group which had no set or estimation requirement; however, the experimental groups did not differ among themselves in choice performance. The latter finding suggests that estimation enhanced choice accuracy by cuing information that was accumulated in a similar fashion by all experimental groups: the record of event frequency. Some possible determinants of predictive choice for future practical and theoretical consideration are discussed.
dc.format.digitalOriginreformatted digital
dc.format.extent57 pp
dc.identifier.callnoThesis Psych. 1982 Kerkar
dc.identifier.citationKerkar, Shanta P.. "Choosing among alternatives with uncertain outcomes: effects of prior cuing and estimation requirements." (1982) Master’s Thesis, Rice University. <a href="https://hdl.handle.net/1911/104735">https://hdl.handle.net/1911/104735</a>.
dc.identifier.digitalRICE2371
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1911/104735
dc.language.isoeng
dc.rightsCopyright is held by the author, unless otherwise indicated. Permission to reuse, publish, or reproduce the work beyond the bounds of fair use or other exemptions to copyright law must be obtained from the copyright holder.
dc.titleChoosing among alternatives with uncertain outcomes: effects of prior cuing and estimation requirements
dc.typeThesis
dc.type.materialText
thesis.degree.departmentPsychology
thesis.degree.disciplineSocial Sciences
thesis.degree.grantorRice University
thesis.degree.levelMasters
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Arts
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