Choosing among alternatives with uncertain outcomes: effects of prior cuing and estimation requirements

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dc.contributor.advisorHowell, William C.en_US
dc.contributor.committeeMemberWatkins, Michael J.en_US
dc.contributor.committeeMemberLane, David M.en_US
dc.creatorKerkar, Shanta P.en_US
dc.date.accessioned2018-12-18T21:29:40Zen_US
dc.date.available2018-12-18T21:29:40Zen_US
dc.date.issued1982en_US
dc.description.abstractThe present study sought to clarify the influence of frequency and probability estimation on subsequent predictive choice performance. The experimental design involved a manipulation of quality of prior estimations via combinations of instructional set and response requirement. The results demonstrated that frequency judgments were consistently superior to probability judgments regardless of initial frequency or probability set. However, accuracy of predictive choices did not directly reflect the subjects’ estimation-performance. All experimental groups made better choices than a control group which had no set or estimation requirement; however, the experimental groups did not differ among themselves in choice performance. The latter finding suggests that estimation enhanced choice accuracy by cuing information that was accumulated in a similar fashion by all experimental groups: the record of event frequency. Some possible determinants of predictive choice for future practical and theoretical consideration are discussed.en_US
dc.format.digitalOriginreformatted digitalen_US
dc.format.extent57 ppen_US
dc.identifier.callnoThesis Psych. 1982 Kerkaren_US
dc.identifier.citationKerkar, Shanta P.. "Choosing among alternatives with uncertain outcomes: effects of prior cuing and estimation requirements." (1982) Master’s Thesis, Rice University. <a href="https://hdl.handle.net/1911/104735">https://hdl.handle.net/1911/104735</a>.en_US
dc.identifier.digitalRICE2371en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1911/104735en_US
dc.language.isoengen_US
dc.rightsCopyright is held by the author, unless otherwise indicated. Permission to reuse, publish, or reproduce the work beyond the bounds of fair use or other exemptions to copyright law must be obtained from the copyright holder.en_US
dc.titleChoosing among alternatives with uncertain outcomes: effects of prior cuing and estimation requirementsen_US
dc.typeThesisen_US
dc.type.materialTexten_US
thesis.degree.departmentPsychologyen_US
thesis.degree.disciplineSocial Sciencesen_US
thesis.degree.grantorRice Universityen_US
thesis.degree.levelMastersen_US
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Artsen_US
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