Stoll, Richard J.2013-10-232013-10-231992-06Stoll, Richard J.. "Steaming in the Dark? : Rules, Rivals, and the British Navy, 1860-1913." <i>Journal of Conflict Resolution,</i> 36, no. 2 (1992) Sage: 263-283. http://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022002792036002003.https://hdl.handle.net/1911/72237The empirical literature on arms races has often failed to find strong evidence of the existence of arms races among "obvious" dyads. In this article it is argued that if we assume that decision makers use simple rules and concentrate on the weapons stock of their rivals, we can produce highly accurate models. These premises arc tested by examining the size of the British navy from 1860 to 1913. The results offer support for this line of argument.engThis is an author's peer-reviewed final manuscript, as accepted by the publisher. The published article is copyrighted by Sage.Journal articlehttp://dx.doi.org/10.1177/0022002792036002003